found out that the SIBR has a sql database of games, so i wrote 40 lines of sql

been curious about how accurate the stated odds on the site are, so i looked up the stats collection group, "Society of Internet Blaseball Research," and dug around enough to find just a postgres console

spent an hour with the postgres docs and "the art of postgresql" book and came up with


oh so my first hypothesis was that the odds on the site are getting less accurate

which isn't the case! the percentage of games that are contrary to odds is on a slight upward trend, but the high-confidence odds that end up being contrary are fewer

second hypothesis is that contrary games are more likely in the earlseason

which has been true lately! leftmost column is `season / 3`

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